Triple Flag Delivers Strong Q4 and Full Year 2023 Results; Long-Term GEOs Outlook Driven by Growth at Northparkes

TORONTO–(BUSINESS WIRE)–Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (with its subsidiaries, “Triple Flag” or the “Company”) (TSX: TFPM, NYSE: TFPM) announced its results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2023 and declared a dividend of US$0.0525 per common share to be paid on March 15, 2024. All amounts are expressed in US dollars unless otherwise indicated.

“Our team and our operating partners delivered on an impressive set of milestones this past year. The portfolio achieved the seventh consecutive annual GEOs record for Triple Flag and a compound annual growth rate in GEOs of more than 20% since 2017, while delivering on our GEOs sales guidance for 2023. Looking ahead, we are well positioned to continue delivering sector-leading organic growth over the near-to-medium term, and beyond. At our multi-decade Northparkes asset, the processing of higher gold grades from the E31 and E31N open pits is on track to drive GEOs sales growth in 2024, while our extensive pipeline of growth projects including Hope Bay, Eskay Creek and Koné continued to advance down the development path. Given their technical expertise and long-life asset strategy, Triple Flag is also pleased to welcome Evolution Mining (“Evolution”) as our new partner at Northparkes, which shares a backyard in New South Wales with their impressive Cowal operation,” commented Shaun Usmar, CEO.

“I am proud of the business that the Triple Flag team has built over the past eight years. Our strong organic growth profile, sustainable and meaningful dividend, peer-leading insider ownership, as well as more than $660 million in liquidity for sensible external growth opportunities should continue to drive stakeholder value in the year to come.”

Q4 2023 and Full Year 2023 Financial Highlights

	Q4 2023	Q4 2022	FY 2023	FY 2022
Revenue	$51.7 million	$43.9 million	$204.0 million	$151.9 million
Gold Equivalent Ounces (“GEOs”)1	26,243	25,428	105,087	84,571
Operating Cash Flow	$37.6 million	$36.7 million	$154.1 million	$118.4 million
Net Earnings (per share)	$9.8 million ($0.05)	$15.5 million ($0.10)	$36.3 million ($0.18)	$55.1 million ($0.35)
Adjusted Net Earnings2 (per share)	$17.8 million ($0.09)	$17.4 million ($0.11)	$66.3 million ($0.33)	$61.0 million ($0.39)
Adjusted EBITDA3	$41.0 million	$33.8 million	$158.5 million	$118.5 million
Asset Margin4	91%	91%	90%	91%

GEOs Sold by Commodity, Revenue by Commodity, and Financial Highlights Summary Table

	Three Months Ended December 31		Year Ended December 31
($ thousands except GEOs, Asset Margin and per share numbers)	2023	2022	2023	2022
GEOs1
Gold	14,997	11,199	61,251	44,786
Silver	9,883	12,684	38,983	34,052
Other	1,363	1,545	4,853	5,733
Total	26,243	25,428	105,087	84,571
Revenue
Gold	29,568	19,328	119,041	80,533
Silver	19,484	21,892	75,554	61,051
Other	2,687	2,666	9,429	10,301
Total	51,739	43,886	204,024	151,885
Net Earnings	9,755	15,460	36,282	55,086
Net Earnings per Share	0.05	0.10	0.18	0.35
Adjusted Net Earnings2	17,754	17,429	66,267	61,012
Adjusted Net Earnings per Share2	0.09	0.11	0.33	0.39
Operating Cash Flow	37,644	36,721	154,138	118,376
Operating Cash Flow per Share	0.19	0.24	0.77	0.76
Adjusted EBITDA3	41,017	33,848	158,541	118,503
Asset Margin4	91%	91%	90%	91%

Corporate Updates

• Quarterly Dividend Maintained: Triple Flag’s Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of US$0.0525 per common share that will be paid on March 15, 2024, to shareholders of record at the close of business on March 4, 2024.

• Normal Course Issuer Bid Renewed: Triple Flag renewed its normal course issuer bid (“NCIB”) during the fourth quarter of 2023 in accordance with a balanced and disciplined capital allocation strategy focused on balance sheet management, returns to shareholders and accretive growth opportunities. During the period starting from November 15, 2023, to November 14, 2024, Triple Flag is authorized to purchase up to 10,078,488 of its common shares (representing 5% of the Company’s issued and outstanding common shares at the time of the NCIB renewal).

• Acquisition of Johnson Camp Mine Royalty: On November 30, 2023, the Company entered into an agreement for the acquisition of a 1.5% gross revenue royalty (“GRR”) on future production from Excelsior Mining’s Johnson Camp Mine (“JCM”) in Arizona, United States for total cash consideration of $5.5 million. Nuton LLC, a Rio Tinto venture, is currently evaluating JCM in partnership with Excelsior under a two-stage work program on the potential use of its copper heap leaching technologies for primary sulphide mineralization. JCM is within the coverage area of Triple Flag’s separate copper stream on the flagship Gunnison property. Excelsior remains committed to the development of both Gunnison and JCM. According to the operator, leaching tests have begun at JCM using Nuton^TM technologies under Stage 1 of the current work program. Under a 2023 PEA, JCM is currently designed to produce 492 million pounds of copper over a 20-year mine life based on conventional open pit mining.

2024 Guidance

In 2024, we expect attributable royalty revenue and stream sales of 105,000 to 115,000 GEOs.

2024 guidance is based on public forecasts and other disclosure by the owners and operators of our assets and our assessment thereof. Key assumptions that drive the achievement of guidance includes:

• Northparkes – Production from the higher gold grade E31 and E31N open pits. Mining, stockpiling and processing of E31 and E31N began in the second half of 2023, which should drive GEOs sales growth starting in 2024. Notably, December 2023 saw the mill process the largest quantity of ore from the E31 open pits to date. Due to the expected sequencing of mining and processing activities, we anticipate the GEOs contribution in 2024 from Northparkes to be significantly higher than levels experienced in the prior year, and to be slightly higher in the second half of the year compared to the first half.
• Pumpkin Hollow and Gunnison – We have not assumed any GEOs sales from these assets in 2024.

The final deliveries from our Renard stream were 965 GEOs in the fourth quarter of 2023. This, together with the anticipated sequencing of mining and processing activities from our operators, is expected to result in lower GEOs sales in the first quarter of 2024 compared to the prior quarter.

	2024 Guidance1
GEOs Sales3	105,000 to 115,000 GEOs
Depletion	$70 million to $80 million
General Administration Costs	$23 million to $24 million
Australian Cash Tax Rate2	~25%
1 Assumed commodity prices of $1,900/oz gold and $21.00/oz silver.
2 Australian Cash Taxes are payable for Triple Flag’s Australian royalty interests, specifically Fosterville, Beta Hunt, Stawell, Dargues and Henty.
3 Refer to Endnote 1

Long-Term GEOs Sales Outlook

Triple Flag’s long-term GEOs sales outlook builds on the sector-leading growth achieved since our inception, with a compound annual growth rate of more than 20% since 2017.

GEOs sales over the five-year period from 2025 to 2029 are expected to average more than 140,000 GEOs per year, a significant increase over current levels driven by the following anticipated increases:

• Northparkes – In the short term, increased deliveries due to higher gold production from the E31 and E31N open pits as described above. In the medium to long term, the start of underground mining from the higher gold grade E22 cave. Upon commencement, E22 is expected to contribute to similarly higher GEOs contributions from Northparkes as are expected through at least 2024 due to the sequencing and processing of the higher gold grade E31 and E31N open pits. A feasibility study for the E22 underground orebody is expected to be completed in the second quarter of 2024 by Evolution, which will assess the development option of a sub-level cave compared to a block cave. Decline development from surface is expected to commence in the third quarter of 2024.
• Pumpkin Hollow and Gunnison (including JCM) – Starting in 2025, the ramp-up of operations at Pumpkin Hollow and Gunnison (including JCM).
• Development and exploration stage assets – In the medium to long term, deliveries from Hope Bay (Agnico Eagle), South Railroad (Orla Mining), DeLamar (Integra Resources), Tamarack (Talon Metals), Koné (Montage Gold), Prieska (Orion Minerals), Eskay Creek (Skeena Resources), Gemfield (Centerra Gold’s Goldfield project) and McCoy-Cove (i80 Gold).

The majority of the GEOs sales expected over the five-year outlook is derived from mines that are currently in production and supported by Mineral Reserve and Mineral Resource estimates. Above and beyond the current five-year outlook, exists further optionality associated with exploration-stage projects that may be advanced to production during the period. Our five-year outlook is based on a metal price assumption of $1,850/oz Au, $22/oz Ag and $4.00/lb Cu.

Q4 2023 Portfolio Updates

Australia:

• Northparkes (54% gold stream and 80% silver stream): Sales from Northparkes in Q4 2023 were 3,339 GEOs. On December 18th, 2023, Evolution announced the completion of the acquisition of an 80% interest in Northparkes from CMOC located in New South Wales, Australia. Triple Flag is pleased to welcome Evolution as a partner, particularly given their significant in-country expertise in large-scale, underground caving operations from the Ernest Henry mine, and their impressive value creation demonstrated at the Cowal mine. The Cowal open pit and underground mine is also located in New South Wales, which Evolution acquired from Barrick Gold in 2015. Driven by an investment in exploration, Evolution successfully extended Cowal’s mine life by more than 15 years at an approximately 30% higher production rate compared to the time of acquisition.

• Beta Hunt (3.25% gold GRR and 1.5% NSR gold royalty): Royalties from Beta Hunt in Q4 2023 equated to 1,260 GEOs. Karora continues to advance development of a second decline at Beta Hunt to increase mine capacity to 2 million tonnes per annum, which remains on track for completion by the end of 2024. Three vent raises have now been completed, with primary fans to be installed by the end of the first half of 2024 to accommodate the planned increase in mining fleet.

  Demonstrating the significant mine life extension potential of Beta Hunt, Karora reported an 18% increase in gold ounces in the Measured and Indicated (“M&I”) Mineral Resource category (inclusive of reserves) to 1.6 million ounces in Q4 2023, with an increase in grade of 8%. Similarly, gold Proven and Probable (“P&P”) Reserves were increased by 7% to 573 thousand ounces at an 8% higher grade. Multiple drills continue to turn at the operation to test for further resource expansion, with all zones open along strike and down plunge.

• Fosterville (2.0% NSR gold royalty): Royalties from Fosterville in Q4 2023 equated to 902 GEOs. In February 2024, Agnico Eagle released an updated three-year gold outlook. The operator now expects Fosterville to produce between 200,000 to 220,000 ounces in 2024, 140,000 to 160,000 ounces in 2025 and 140,000 to 160,000 ounces in 2026. Longer-term, work is ongoing to evaluate the potential to optimize mining and milling activities to ensure that Fosterville remains a sustainable producer of 175,000 to 200,000 ounces of gold annually. Preliminary results of this evaluation are expected in the second half of 2024.

  Year-over-year, mineral reserves at Fosterville remained stable at approximately 1.7 million ounces grading 6.1 g/t Au. Agnico Eagle expects to spend $22.6 million in exploration drilling at Lower Phoenix, Robbins Hill and Harrier totaling over 75,000 metres in 2024.

Latin America:

• Cerro Lindo (65% silver stream): Sales from Cerro Lindo in Q4 2023 were 6,619 GEOs. As expected and previously disclosed, deliveries from Cerro Lindo continued to improve sequentially from 4,054 GEOs in Q2 2023 and 5,477 GEOs in Q3 2023 following the rainfall-related shutdown in mid-March due to Cyclone Yaku, which had temporarily restricted access to higher-grade zones in the second quarter. Typically, deliveries under the Cerro Lindo stream lag production by four months.

• Camino Rojo (2.0% NSR gold royalty on oxides): Royalties from Camino Rojo in Q4 2023 equated to 680 GEOs. Orla Mining Ltd. (“Orla”) announced that Camino Rojo produced a record 34,484 ounces of gold during the fourth quarter and 121,877 ounces of gold for the full year 2023, exceeding the increased production guidance range of 110,000 to 120,000 ounces. Orla also announced that gold production from Camino Rojo is expected to be maintained at 110,000 to 120,000 ounces in 2024.

• Buriticá (100% silver stream, fixed ratio to gold): Sales from Buriticá in Q4 2023 were 1,373 GEOs. Throughout the fourth quarter of 2023, Buriticá was able to maintain steady operations, however due to the ongoing presence of illegal miners, certain areas of the mine were avoided as a precautionary measure. The mine site continues to engage closely with the surrounding community on illegal mining and is supported by the National Army and National Police. As previously disclosed, exploration targeting mine life extensions recently drove growth in gold mineral resources by approximately 700 koz in the measured and indicated category and by approximately 570 koz in the inferred category, after mining depletion.

• Cerro Blanco (1.0% NSR gold royalty): Subsequent to quarter-end, Bluestone Resources Inc. announced that Guatemala’s Ministry of Environment and Natural Resources approved the environmental permit amendment for the Cerro Blanco gold project to change the mining method from the existing permitted underground development to surface mining development. A strategic review remains ongoing to evaluate potential strategic alternatives to further advance Cerro Blanco.

North America:

• Young-Davidson (1.5% NSR gold royalty): Royalties from Young-Davidson in Q4 2023 equated to 675 GEOs. Based on an outlook released in January 2024, annual gold production at Young-Davidson is expected to remain consistent at 180,000 to 195,000 ounces from 2024 to 2026. As of December 31, 2023, Alamos estimates a mine life of approximately 15 years for Young-Davidson based on current underground mining rates. Notably, Young-Davidson has maintained at least a 13-year Mineral Reserve life since 2011 reflecting ongoing exploration success. Alamos expects to spend $12 million on exploration at Young-Davidson in 2024, up from $8 million in 2023. The deposit remains open at depth and to the west.

• Florida Canyon (3.0% NSR gold royalty): Royalties from Florida Canyon in Q4 2023 equated to 567 GEOs. The open pit, heap leach asset produced 71,161 ounces of gold in 2023, far exceeding the guidance range of 55,000 to 65,000 ounces. Looking ahead, Argonaut expects to complete a PEA by the end of 2024 that will review the development of a potential sulphide operation at Florida Canyon.

• Hope Bay (1.0% NSR gold royalty): Exploration drilling in 2023 totaled more than 125,000 metres, focused on the Madrid and Doris deposits. Inferred resources at Hope Bay have now increased to 2.1 million ounces at 5.41 g/t Au (from 1.95 million ounces at 5.49 g/t Au previously), mainly from the Patch 7 zone of Madrid. In 2024, Agnico Eagle expects to spend $22 million on exploration drilling for 50,000 metres with a continuing focus on Madrid and Doris, including testing the gap between Suluk and Patch 7 at Madrid. Recent exploration results are expected to support a larger production scenario at Hope Bay. Agnico Eagle expects to report results from an internal technical evaluation in 2025.

• Goldfield (5.0% NSR gold royalty on the Gemfield deposit): Subsequent to quarter-end, Centerra Gold reported that over 49 km of drilling was completed at the Goldfield project in 2023, which is located in Nevada, USA. The operator remains focused on the oxide and transitional material at Goldfield. Subject to successful exploration and metallurgical work, an initial resource is expected to be released by the end of 2024.

• DeLamar (2.5% NSR gold and silver royalty, partial coverage): During Q4 2023, Integra Resources Corp. submitted the draft Mine Plan of Operations (“MPO”) to the U.S. Bureau of Land Management for the DeLamar and Florida Mountain deposits (“DeLamar”). The MPO is the culmination of over three years of environmental baseline studies, initial engineering design, and detailed description of mining and reclamation activities proposed for the DeLamar heap leach project. Next steps for DeLamar in 2024 include the completion of a feasibility study and the commencement of the Draft Environmental Impact Statement process.

• Eskay Creek (0.5% NSR gold and silver royalty): During the quarter, Skeena Resources Limited announced the results of a Definitive Feasibility Study for Eskay Creek. Highlights include an increase in the Mineral Reserve estimate and an extended mine life to 12 years, updated capital costs to reflect a plan that is executable, technically proven and significantly de-risked following an additional year of engineering and studies. Pre-production mining is also being accelerated to create a larger ore stockpile at startup, de-risking initial production and improving the ability to blend for optimal concentrates. According to Skeena, first gold pour is expected in 2026 with total life of mine AuEq production of approximately 3.9 million ounces.

• Buffalo Valley (3.0% NSR gold royalty and 0.5% NSR gold royalty): Subsequent to quarter-end, SSR Mining released an inaugural resource for the Buffalo Valley satellite deposit of the Marigold run-of-mine heap leach operation in Nevada, USA. Indicated resources total 0.27 million ounces at 0.57 g/t Au and inferred resources total 0.15 million ounces at 0.51 g/t Au. The current proven and probable reserve grade at Marigold is 0.47 g/t Au. According to SSR Mining, technical work is ongoing to potentially expand Marigold’s proven and probable reserves of 2.98 million ounces to include Buffalo Valley. The deposit may host potential for longer-term standalone processing infrastructure and shorter haulage distances. SSR Mining expects to spend $9 million on exploration and resource development at the Marigold complex in 2024. Historical gold production from 1989 to 1991 at Buffalo Valley totaled 50,000 ounces.

Rest of World:

• RBPlat (70% gold stream): Sales from RBPlat in Q4 2023 were 1,674 GEOs. On December 20th, 2023, Implats reported that all employees who were engaged in a two-day illegal underground protest at the mine, without the support of the representative union, have exited the underground workings and returned safely to surface. The Impala management team noted that any operational impact to the fourth quarter of 2023 was mitigated as the mill remained operational with sufficient stockpiles to process.

• ATO (25% gold stream and 50% silver stream): Sales from the ATO streams in Q4 2023 were 1,609 GEOs. Subsequent to quarter-end, Steppe Gold Ltd. announced that it has entered into a turnkey engineering, procurement and construction contract (the “EPC Contract”) for the Phase 2 mine and mill expansion at ATO. The EPC contract is fully funded by the previously announced $150 million project finance package. Construction of the flotation plant for Phase 2 is expected to commence in the second quarter of 2024, with a new crushing circuit anticipated to be operating later this year. First concentrate production under Phase 2 is expected by 2026.

  Separately, Steppe Gold announced a merger with Boroo Gold LLC in January 2024, which would establish Steppe as the largest gold producer in Mongolia, providing further financial strength, asset diversification and scale.

• Koné (2.0% NSR gold royalty): Subsequent to quarter-end, Montage Gold Corp. announced the results of the Updated Definitive Feasibility Study for the Koné gold project, which now incorporates ore from the higher-grade Gbongogo Main satellite deposit. The Updated Definitive Feasibility Study is based on three open-pit gold deposits feeding a central gold processing facility. Koné is designed to produce an average of 223,000 ounces of gold per year over the initial mine life of 16 years. Final permits and approvals for Koné are expected in Q3 2024, with construction anticipated to commence thereafter.

• Prieska (0.8% GRR and 84% gold and silver stream, fixed ratio): Trial mining at Prieska commenced during Q4 2023 with the first blast completed in November. Mine development subsequently reached the 105 level orebody in January 2024. Metallurgical test work is ongoing, focusing on ore from the initial phases of the proposed mining operation at Prieska. Next steps include dewatering the underground mine in Q2 2024, as well as the completion of an updated feasibility study by mid-2024 upon the conclusion of trial mining.

Conference Call Details

Triple Flag has scheduled an investor conference call at 9:00 a.m. ET (6:00 a.m. PT) on Thursday, February 22, 2024, to discuss the results reported in today’s earnings announcement. The conference call will be broadcast live via a webcast and can be accessed by visiting the Events and Presentations page on the Company’s website at: www.tripleflagpm.com. An archived version of the webcast will be available on the website for two weeks following the webcast.

Live Webcast:					https://events.q4inc.com/attendee/512901222
Dial-In Details:					Toll-Free (U.S. & Canada): +1 (888) 330-2384
					International: +1 (647) 800-3739
					Conference ID: 4548984
Replay (Until March 7):					Toll-Free (U.S. & Canada): +1 (800) 770-2030
					International: +1 (647) 362-9199
					Conference ID: 4548984

About Triple Flag

Triple Flag is a pure play, precious-metals-focused streaming and royalty company. We offer bespoke financing solutions to the metals and mining industry with exposure primarily to gold and silver in the Americas and Australia, with a total of 235 assets, including 15 streams and 220 royalties. These investments are tied to mining assets at various stages of the mine life cycle, including 32 producing mines and 203 development and exploration stage projects, and other assets. Triple Flag is listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange and New York Stock Exchange, under the ticker “TFPM”.

Qualified Person

James Dendle, Senior Vice President, Corporate Development for Triple Flag and a “qualified person” under NI 43-101 has reviewed and approved the written scientific and technical disclosures contained in this press release.

Forward-Looking Information

This news release contains “forward-looking information” within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws and “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, respectively (collectively referred to herein as “forward-looking information”). Forward-looking information may be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “plans”, “targets”, “expects”, “is expected”, “budget”, “scheduled”, “estimates”, “outlook”, “forecasts”, “projection”, “prospects”, “strategy”, “intends”, “anticipates”, “believes” or variations of such words and phrases or terminology which states that certain actions, events or results “may”, “could”, “would”, “might”, “will”, “will be taken”, “occur” or “be achieved”. Forward-looking information in this news release includes, but is not limited to, statements with respect to the Company’s annual and five-year guidance, operational and corporate developments for the Company, developments in respect of the Company’s portfolio of royalties and streams and related interests and those developments at certain of the mines, projects or properties that underlie the Company’s interests, strengths, characteristics, the conduct of the conference call to discuss the financial results for the fourth quarter of 2023, and our assessments of, and expectations for, future periods (including, but not limited to, the long-term sales outlook for GEOs).

Contacts

Investor Relations:
David Lee

Vice President, Investor Relations

Tel: +1 (416) 304-9770

Email: [email protected]

Media:
Gordon Poole, Camarco

Tel: +44 (0) 7730 567 938

Email: [email protected]

Read full story here